Vermont vs. UMBC prediction: Ride with heavy favorite

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Vermont is an enormous favourite over UMBC within the America East Event remaining on Saturday, which begins an epic day of faculty hoops at 11 a.m. Jap.

UMBC is a good-shooting group. However the Retrievers shot 20-for-43 (46.5 %) from 3-point vary of their two-game run to the championship sport. Their opponents — Hartford and UMass Lowell — shot simply 11-for-46 (23.9 %) from past the arc.

Don’t count on UMBC to shoot that properly at Vermont.

The Catamounts beat UMBC by 17 in Baltimore in mid-January, after which beat UMBC by 26 in Burlington, Vt., in late February. In these two video games, Vermont completed with 1.35 ShotQuality PPP ending on the rim. Within the latter sport, Ryan Davis completed with 1.6 ShotQuality PPP in post-up conditions.

It was all Cats and no Retrievers within the paint that day. Coach Jim Ferry and the Retrievers may have no reply on protection for Vermont — particularly when Catamounts coach John Becker has his offense so locked in. Vermont’s offense is in good rhythm and move, and the factors simply come simply.

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I’m additionally anticipating Becker to be locked in after final 12 months’s match catastrophe when the top-seeded Catamounts had been upset by Hartford within the semis. Don’t count on Vermont to take its foot off the fuel — it didn’t within the final matchup with UMBC even after Vermont clinched the regular-season title within the prior sport.

I’ll lay the factors with our Catamounts, as they cowl each quantity anyway. Then, get able to guess Vermont ATS and ML within the first spherical of the match, as a result of a No. 13 over No. 4 upset is coming.

The play: Vermont -15.5

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